Alexander Bublik vs Sebastian Baez Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

In terms of second serve performance over the last six months, Bublik has secured 43.24% of points, while Baez has slightly outperformed with a win rate of 43.49%. Return game statistics show a similar trend, indicating the differences in the players' capabilities in capitalizing on their opponents' second serves. Specifically, Bublik has won 47.27% of his opponents' second serve points, compared to Baez's 44.77%.

When it comes to defending break points, Bublik has displayed greater resilience, saving 59.39% of break points compared to Baez's 52.05%. This could prove crucial during tightly contested games. Additionally, in recent form, Bublik has converted 31.03% of break point opportunities, while Baez has been slightly more proficient with a conversion rate of 34.69%. These percentages are essential for in-game predictions, particularly during break point situations.

Analyzing their overall performance over the past year, Bublik has won 37.78% of matches with a record of 17 wins and 28 losses. In contrast, Baez has achieved a higher win rate of 48.15% with a record of 26 wins and 28 losses. Regarding their preferred playing surfaces, Bublik excels on indoor hard courts with a 62% win rate, while Baez has an impressive 71% win rate on clay. This suggests the potential surface-dependency in their performances.

Another critical factor is the level and quality of opponents faced. Bublik has been competing against opponents with an average rank of 68.89, whereas Baez's opponents have averaged a rank of 80.33. Additionally, Bublik has a slight edge in deciding set performance, having won 54% of such sets over the past year compared to Baez's 48% win rate.

Considering all these statistics, the combination of Bublik's superior breakpoint save percentage, his robust return on opponent's second serves, and a higher success in deciding sets slightly favors him to win the upcoming match against Baez, though the competition is expected to be quite close.